Project
Trade Balance Deficit in Bavaria
Client: Chamber of Industry and Commerce Munich and Upper Bavaria
Project period: September 2023 - December 2023
Research Areas:
Project period: September 2023 - December 2023
Research Areas:
Project team: Prof. Oliver Falck, Christian Pfaffl
Tasks
The study is being conducted as part of a contract with the Chamber of Industry and Commerce for Munich and Upper Bavaria, which provides independent, scientifically sound economic advice: Details.
While the value of Bavaria's exports of goods exceeded imports in previous decades, there has been a shift in favor of an import surplus since 2019. Since then, Bavaria's trade balance deficithas increased. The study addresses the following questions:
- What is the cause of the transition from a (goods) export surplus to an export deficit in Bavaria?
- Can service exports compensate for the goods export deficit in the long term?
- What are the consequences of these findings for economic policy?
- Where should economic policy start?
- And to what extent is it realistic and desirable to achieve export surpluses again?
Monograph (Authorship)
Exportdefizitland Bayern: Ausdruck einer Industrie-Standort-Schwäche?
Oliver Falck, Christian Pfaffl
2023
Impulse für die Wirtschaftspolitik, ifo-IHK Rahmenvertrag zur Erstellung volkswirtschaftlicher Studien
2023
Impulse für die Wirtschaftspolitik, ifo-IHK Rahmenvertrag zur Erstellung volkswirtschaftlicher Studien