Main Content

Forecasts

Twice a year the Ifo Institute publishes the Ifo Economic Forecast on the development of the German and the world economy for the current and the subsequent year. Additionally, the institute participates in the so-called Joint Economic Forecast of leading German economics institutes. The Euro-zone Economic Outlook is a joint initiative of three leading European economic institutes (Ifo Institute in Munich, INSEE in Paris and Istat in Rome) to produce short-term forecasts for GDP, consumption, industrial production and inflation in the euro zone (quarterly). A European economic forecast is presented once a year in the Report on the European Economy by the EEAG (European Economic Advisory Group at CESifo)

Next Internet Publication Date of the Ifo Economic Forecast: 17 June 2015 10:00 a.m.

The Ifo Economic Forecast will be presented at 10:00 a.m. CET on 17 June 2015 at a press conference and will be available online at this time. read on Next Internet Publication Date of the Ifo Economic Forecast: 17 June 2015 10:00 a.m.

Latest releases

  1. Eurozone Economic Outlook July 2015

    Recovery Spreading

    Jul 7, 2015: In Q1 2015, economic activity in the Eurozone sustained its growth momentum (+0.4%). Real domestic product is set to grow at a similar pace in Q2 (+0.4%) and accelerate slightly through the end of 2015 (+0.5% in Q3 and Q4), mainly driven by domestic demand. Growth is expected to average +1.4% in 2015, after +0.9 % in 2014. Details

  2. Ifo Economic Forecast for Eastern Germany and Saxony 2015/2016 (2 July 2015)

    Eastern German Economy Enjoys Sustained Growth

    Jul 2, 2015: Real gross domestic product in eastern Germany (including Berlin) is expected to rise sharply by 1.8 percent this year and by 1.6 percent in 2016. In Saxony economic growth looks set to be slightly higher at 2.0 percent this year and 1.8 percent in 2016. Private consumption will remain the main economic driver in both years. Positive impulses, however, will also come from a continued upturn in demand for capital goods. Eastern German and Saxon labour demand stands to benefit from the sustained economic expansion, although growth dynamics look set to weaken. The minimum legal wage and precarious demographic developments will curb increases in employment by companies. The shortage of qualified staff in some areas is becoming increasingly obvious. Details

  3. Ifo Economic Forecast 17 June 2015

    Ifo Economic Forecast 2015: German Economy on the Upturn

    Jun 17, 2015: The German economy is currently experiencing a sharp upturn. Real domestic product is expected to expand by 1.9% this year and by 1.8% in 2016. Private consumption remains the driver behind the upturn since the revenue outlook of private households is good due to continued improvements in the labour market. However, purchasing power gains thanks to falling oil prices are gradually fading, which is expected to weaken the consumption dynamic slightly over the forecasting period. Corporate investments will grow in an extremely favourable financial environment. The construction boom also looks set to continue. The depreciation of the euro is expected to stimulate exports through the second half of this year. The world economy will subsequently cool down slightly over the course of 2016 and will curb growth in exports. Imports will increase somewhat more quickly than exports due to strong domestic demand. Overall, demand-side impulses will come from the domestic economy just like last year. Details

  4. Joint Economic Forecast Spring 2015

    A Strong Upswing Thanks to Cheap Oil and a Weak Euro

    Apr 16, 2015: The German economy is experiencing a strong upturn driven by unexpected expansive impulses, especially the falling oil price and the sharp depreciation of the euro. Gross domestic product is expected to increase by 2.1 percent this year. The 68 percent projection interval ranges from 1.1 percent to 2.8 percent. Consumption is the driving force behind the upturn. The rest of the euro area is also expected to produce slightly positive impulses, meaning that international trade will contribute to growth. The pace of growth is only expected to slow slightly in the year ahead. The euro’s depreciation will continue to stimulate the economy, while the positive effects of the lower oil price are expected to fade. Public budgets will show significant surpluses of over twenty billion euros in 2015 and 2016 respectively. In view of large structural surpluses, time is ripe to make the income tax rate more performance-oriented – especially for small and medium-sized companies. Details

  5. Eurozone Economic Outlook April 2015

    A Change of Pace in Sight

    Apr 8, 2015: In the Eurozone, activity picked up by 0.3% in Q4 2014, after moderately expanding in Q3 (+0.2%). The recovery in production is expected to continue. GDP is to slightly accelerate in Q1 2015 (+0.4%) and then continue to expand at the same rate over the following quarters. Details


Short URL: www.ifo.de/w/99FmoR9H