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European housing construction up to 2010 - crisis in the west and boom in the eastSelected results of the Euroconstruct summer conference 2008

Ludwig Dorffmeister
ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2008

ifo Schnelldienst, 2008, 61, Nr. 14, 36-43

After the bursting of the American bubble in real-estate prices last summer and the various resulting economic repercussions - not only for the domestic economy but also for the international financial markets and for global economic activity - the construction industry in Europe has now been severely affected, plunging especially European home building into a deep crisis. Increased mortgage interest rates, tighter credit conditions and falling house prices have led to a perceptible decline in home construction demand in many places. Especially the construction of new apartment buildings is likely to shrink by around 8 percent in 2008 - a decline of this order of magnitude has not been observed since the beginning of the 1990s. The effects on far-ranging sectors linked with housing construction will be serious.

JEL Classification: L740,L850

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ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, München, 2008