Working Paper

Spite vs. risk: explaining overbidding

Oliver Kirchkamp, Wladislaw Mill
CESifo, Munich, 2019

CESifo Working Paper No. 7631

In this paper we use an experiment to compare a theory of risk aversion and a theory of spite as an explanation for overbidding in auctions. As a workhorse we use the second-price all-pay and the first-price winner-pay auction. Both risk and spite can be used to rationalize deviations from risk neutral equilibrium bids in auctions. We exploit that equilibrium predictions in the second-price all-pay auctions for spiteful preferences are different than those for risk averse preferences. Indeed, we find that spite is a more convincing explanation for bidding behavior for the second-price all-pay auction. Not only can spite rationalize observed bids, also our measure for spite is consistent with observed bids.

CESifo Category
Behavioural Economics
Industrial Organisation
JEL Classification: C910, C720, D440, D910