Steffen Elstner

Junior Economist and Doctoral Student

Ifo Institute

Poschingerstra�e 5
81679 M�nchen

Phone: +49(0)89/9224-1247
Fax: +49(0)89/9224-1462

E-Mail:

Steffen Elstner, Foto

Main focus:

Business Cycle Analyses and Surveys

Employed at the Ifo Institute since 2008.

Academic Background:

08/2007	-	05/2008	Advanced Studies Program (ASP) in International Economic Policy Research, Kiel Institute for World Economics (Advanced Studies Certificate)
10/2002	-	09/2007	Dipl. Volkswirt (equiv. M.A. in Economics), University of Magdeburg
10/2002	-	11/2005	Baccalaureus in Accounting (equiv. B.A. in Economics), University of Magdeburg
04/2002			Abitur (High School Diploma), Werner-von-Siemens-Gymnasium, Magdeburg

Languages:

German, English, French (basic knowledge)

Professional Experience:

08/2007	-	04/2008	Research Assistant of Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Horst Siebert, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
01/2008	-	03/2008	Research Assistant, Chair for Macroeconomics, University of Kiel
05/2007	-	06/2007	Internship with the Institute for Economic Research Halle (IWH), Department of Macro Analysis
02/2007	-	04/2007	Internship with the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) Berlin, Department of Macro Analysis and Forecasting
11/2006	-	02/2007	Internship with the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) Berlin, Department of Macro Analysis and Forecasting
08/2003	-	10/2003	Internship with the Wotax, Magdeburg

Projects

Ifo Economic Forecasts

Joint Economic Forecast

Publications

Articles in non-refereed journals

2011

Elstner, Steffen (with K. Carstensen, W. Nierhaus, K. Abberger, B. Born, T. Buchen, C. Breuer, C. Grimme, S. Henzel, N. Hristov, M. Kleemann, W. Meister, J. Plenk, K. Wohlrabe, T. Wollmershaeuser, P. Zorn, T.O. Berg), "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus", ifo Schnelldienst 64 (24), 2011, 26-72 ( Abstract )

2010

Elstner, Steffen (with Kai Carstensen, Wolfgang Nierhaus, Klaus Abberger, Christian Breuer, Teresa Buchen, Christian Grimme, Steffen Henzel, Nikolay Hristov, Michael Kleemann, Johannes Mayr, Wolfgang Meister, Georg Paula, Anna Stangl, Klaus Wohlrabe, Timo Wollmershaeuser), "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010/2011: Auftriebskr�fte verlagern sich nach Deutschland ", ifo Schnelldienst 63 (12), 2010, 12-63 ( Abstract / Download )

Elstner, Steffen (with Kai Carstensen, Wolfgang Nierhaus, Klaus Abberger, Tim O. Berg, T. Buchen, Chr. Breuer, Chr. Grimme, St. Henzel, N. Hristov, M. Kleemann, J. Mayr, W. Meister, G. Paula, J. Plenk, K. Wohlrabe, T. Wollmershaeuser), "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort", ifo Schnelldienst 63 (24), 2010, 18-68 ( Abstract / Download )

Elstner, Steffen (with Christian Grimme, Thomas Siemsen), "Die gr��ten aufstrebenden M�rkte f�r deutsche Exporte liegen in Asien und Osteuropa", ifo Schnelldienst 63 (16), 2010, 22-25 ( Abstract / Download )

2009

Elstner, Steffen (with Kai Carstensen, Wolfgang Nierhaus, Oliver Huelsewig, Klaus Abberger, Christian Breuer, Steffen Henzel, Johannes Mayr, Wolfgang Meister, Georg Paula, Anna Stangl, Timo Wollmershaeuser), "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009/2010: Abschwung setzt sich fort", ifo Schnelldienst 62 (12), 2009, 11-57 ( Abstract / Download )

Elstner, Steffen (with Kai Carstensen, Wolfgang Nierhaus, Oliver Huelsewig, Klaus Abberger, Teresa Buchen, Christian Breuer, Steffen Henzel, Nikolay Hristov, Michael Kleemann, Johannes Mayr, Wolfgang Meister, Georg Paula, Anna Stangl, Klaus Wohlrabe, Timo Wollmershaeuser), "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik", ifo Schnelldienst 62 (24), 2009, 17-64 ( Abstract / Download )

2008

Elstner, Steffen (with K. Carstensen, K. Abberger, Chr. Breuer, T. Buettner, S. Henzel, J. Mayr, W. Meister, T. Wollmershaeuser, Nierhaus W., Huelsewig O., R. Hild), "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009: Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession", ifo Schnelldienst 61 (24), 2008, 21-69 ( Abstract / Download )

Elstner, Steffen (with K. Carstensen, W. Nierhaus, K. Abberger, S. Henzel, O. Huelsewig, J. Mayr, W. Meister, D. Ulbricht, T. Wollmershaeuser), "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008/2009: Aufschwung geht zu Ende", ifo Schnelldienst 61 (12), 2008, 09-54 ( Abstract / Download )

Working Papers

2011

Elstner, Steffen (with Kai Carstensen, Georg Paula), "How Strongly Did the 2007/08 Oil Price Hike Contribute to the Subsequent Recession?", CESifo Working Paper Nr. 3357, 2011 ( Abstract / Download )

2010

Elstner, Steffen (with Ruediger Bachmann, E. Sims), "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data", NBER Working Paper 16143, 2010

2008

Elstner, Steffen (with A. Tabakovic), "What do reaction functions tell us about central bank preferences?", Kiel advanced studies working papers 447, 2008

Teaching

"Empirische �konomie f�r Fortgeschrittene", Exercises, University of Munich, Summer Semester 2009 | Lecture notes (in German)

"Makro�konomie", Lecture and Exercises, University of Munich, Summer Semester 2009

"Konjunkturtheorie", Lecture and Exercises, University of Munich, Winter Semester 2008/2009 | Lecture notes (in German), Summer Semester 2009

"Empirische �konomie f�r Fortgeschrittene" (Prof. Flaig), Exercises, University of Munich, SS 2008

Tutorials for the courses: Bilanzen, Investition und Finanzierung, Mikro�konomische Theorie, Makro�konomische Theorie und Wirtschaftspolitik und Finanzwissenschaft; SS 2004-SS 2007, Otto-von-Guericke-Universit�t Magdeburg, v

"Grundz�ge der Makro�konomie", Exercises, WS 2007/08, Christian-Albrechts-Universit�t Kiel

Presentations at International Conferences

Steffen Elstner, Jahrestagung des Vereins f�r Socialpolitik (VfS), Sept. 2011, Frankfurt

Steffen Elstner, European Meeting of the Econometric Society (ESEM), Aug. 2011, Oslo

Steffen Elstner, Deutsche Bundesbank, Jan. 2011, Frankfurt am Main

Steffen Elstner, Econometric Society World Congress, Aug. 2010, Shanghai

Steffen Elstner, NBER Summer Institute ((Presentation by Co-Author), July 2010, Boston