Forthcoming Conferences

	Conference on Macroeconomics and Survey Data CESifo Conference Centre, Munich 29-30 October 2010 Programme

	Friday, 29 October 2010
09:00 - 09:15	Welcome and Introduction HANS-WERNER SINN (CESifo)
09:15 - 10:00	Keynote Lecture Evidence on the Determinants of the Choice between Wage Posting and Wage Bargaining ROBERT E. HALL (STANFORD UNIVERSITY) and Alan B. Krueger (United States Treasury)
	Plenary Session: Pricing
10:00 - 10:45	Choosing between Time and State Dependence: Micro Evidence on Firms' Price-reviewing Strategies DANIEL A. DIAS (University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign), Carlos Robalo Marquesy and Fernando Martins Discussant: Anton Nakov (European Central Bank)
10:45 - 11:15	Coffee Break
11:15 - 12:00	Time- or State-Dependence? An Analysis of Inflation Dynamics using German Business Survey Data Kai Carstensen and HEIKE SCHENKELBERG (University of Munich) Discussant: Christian Bayer (University of Bonn)
12:00 - 12:45	Multiproduct Firms and Price-Setting: Theory and Evidence from U.S. Producer Prices Saroj Bhattarai and RAPHAEL SCHOENLE (Brandeis University) Discussant: Kevin Sheedy (LSE)
12:45 - 13:30	Lunch
13:30 - 14:00	Poster Session
	Krisztina Molnar: Economic Stability and the Responsiveness of Inflation Expectations Roberta Colavecchio: Inflation inequality in Europe Alexander Bick: The Quantity Role of Child Care for Female Labor Force Participation and Fertility Georg Paula: Financing Conditions, the Concept of Innovation Capacity and the Innovative Activity of Firms Teresa Buchen: Forecasting with Many Predictors-Is Boosting a Viable Alternative? (co-author Klaus Wohlrabe) Cornelia Düwel: A Credit Crunch in Germany? Identification Using Micro Data on Potential Borrowers Steffen Elstner: Oil Price Shocks: Dead or Alive?
	Plenary Session: Household Heterogeneity
14:00 -14:45	Confronting the Representative Consumer with Household-Size Heterogeneity CHRISTOS KOULOVATIANOS (University of Nottingham), Carsten Schröder and Ullrich Schmidt Discussant: Thomas Hintermaier (University of Bonn)
14:45 -15:30	Inflation, Money Demand and Portfolio Choice Kosuke Aoki and ALEXANDER MICHAELIDES (LSE) Discussant: Alexander Bick (University of Frankfurt)
15:30 - 16:00	Coffee Break
	Plenary Session: Labour
16:00 -16:45	Labor Market Flows in the Cross Section and Over Time Steven J. Davis, JASON FABERMAN (Philadelphia Fed) and John Haltiwanger Discussant: Hermann Gartner (IAB Nürnberg)
16:45 - 17:30	Labor Market Rigidity and Business Cycle Volatility Philip Jung and MORITZ KUHN (University of Bonn) Discussant: Christian Merkl (University of Nurnberg)
19:30	Conference Dinner at the "Spatenhaus" at the Opera
	Saturday, 30 October 2010
09:15 - 10:00	Keynote Lecture Optimal Price Setting with Observation and Menu Costs FERNANDO ALVAREZ (UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO), F. Lippi and L. Paciello
	Plenary Session: Expectations
10:00 - 10:45	Confidence and the Transmission of Policy Shocks RUEDIGER BACHMANN (University of Michigan) Discussant: Gernot Müller (University of Bonn)
10:45 - 11:15	Coffee Break
11:15 - 12:00	Business Cycle Dynamics: A Bottom-up Approach with Markov-chain Measurement Eva Köberl and CHRISTIAN MÜLLER (KOF Zurich) Discussant: Timo Wollmershäuser (Ifo Institute)
12:00 - 12:45	Using Survey Data in the Estimation of Learning and Rational Expectations Model ARTURO ORMENO (University Pampeu Fabra) Discussant: Krisztina Molnar (NHH Bergen)
12:45 - 14:00	Lunch
	Plenary Session: Expectations (continued)
14:00 - 14:45	Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts OLIVIER COIBION (College of William and Mary, Williamsburg) and Yuriy Gorodnichenko Discussant: Zeno Endners (University of Bonn)
14:45 - 15:30	Inattentive Professional Forecasters PHILIPPE ANDRADE (Banque de France) and Hervé Le Bihan Discussant: Bartosz Mackowiak (ECB)
15:30 - 16:00	Coffee Break
	Plenary Session: International
16:00 - 16:45	Offshoring, Firm Performance and Establishment-level Employment: Identifying Productivity and Downsizing Effects Christoph Moser, Beatrice Weder di Mauro and DIETER URBAN (RWTH Aachen University) Discussant: Monika Schnitzer (University of Munich)
16:45 - 17:30	Entry Costs and Increasing Trade William Lincoln and ANDREW MCCALLUM (University of Michigan) Discussant: Alexander Tarasov (University of Munich)
	END OF THE CONFERENCE

Conference on Macroeconomics and Survey Data

CESifo Conference Centre, Munich 29-30 October 2010

Programme

Friday, 29 October 2010

Plenary Session: Pricing

Poster Session

Plenary Session: Household Heterogeneity

Plenary Session: Labour

Saturday, 30 October 2010

Plenary Session: Expectations

Plenary Session: Expectations (continued)

Plenary Session: International

Conference
on Macroeconomics and Survey Data

CESifo Conference Centre, Munich
29-30 October 2010