Main Content

CESifo Group Munich

The CESifo Group, consisting of the Center for Economic Studies (CES), the Ifo Institute and the CESifo GmbH (Munich Society for the Promotion of Economic Research) is a research group unique in Europe in the area of economic research. read on CESifo Group Munich

  1. News
  2. Survey results
  3. Upcoming events
  4. New Publications
  1. Watch at 6 pm: Bernhard Kempen on CETA

    teaserImage Munich Seminar on 5 Dezember 2016 at 6 pm: Bernhard Kempen, Professor at the University of Cologne and Director of its Institute for Comparative Public Law and International Law: "Is the European-Canadian free trade agreement CETA unconstitutional?". The lecture will be given in German and will be livestreamed via the internet. Details

  1. Ifo Export Climate Continues to Rise

    teaserImage The Ifo Export Climate rose from 0.26 index points in September to 0.37 points in October. This increase was primarily due to an improvement in corporate and consumer confidence abroad. Price competitiveness, by contrast, remained unchanged compared to last month. Details

  2. Ifo Institute Favours Expansion of Customs Union with Turkey

    teaserImage The Ifo Institute has expressed its support for a customs union between the EU and Turkey. “A deepening of the customs union would help to stabilise the current situation in the Turkish economy and could also constitute a political bridge,” said Erdal Yalcin, Deputy Director of the Ifo Center for International Economics, which has produced a study on the topic for the Bertelsmann Foundation. According to the study, expanding the customs union would lead to an increase in Turkish economic output of 1.84 percent. Agricultural exports from Turkey to the EU could increase by 95 percent, while exports of services may soar by as much as 430 percent. Details

  3. Munich Seminars: Is the European-Canadian free trade agreement CETA unconstitutional?

    teaserImage As part of the Munich Seminar series Bernhard Kempen, Professor at the University of Cologne and Director of its Institute for Comparative Public Law and International Law, looks at the contradictory opinions on the recently signed European-Canadian free trade agreement CETA. The lecture (in German) “Is the European-Canadian free trade agreement CETA unconstitutional?” will be given on 5 December 2016 at 6.00 p.m. in the Ludwig Erhard Saal of the Ifo Institute and will be livestreamed via the internet. Details

  4. Ifo Surveys 2017: Dates and Changes

    teaserImage The publication dates of our survey results in 2017 are now online. There will also be several changes to how we publish our survey results in the year ahead. As of January 2017 the results of the Business Survey of the Service Sector will be released separately, a day after the Ifo Business Climate Indicator; and the Credit Constraints will no longer be released in their present form. Details

  5. Ifo Conference: Macroeconomics and Survey Data

    teaserImage The Ifo Center for Business Cycle Analysis and Surveys together with the University of Notre Dame is once again holding a conference on “Macroeconomics and Survey Data” on 2 and 3 December 2016. Rüdiger Bachmann, Eric Sims, both University of Notre Dame, and Klaus Wohlrabe, Ifo Institute, will be responsible for organizing the conference. The keynote speeches will be given by Greg Kaplan, University of Chicago, und Virgiliu Midrigan, New York University. The conference will be held in the CESifo Conference Center and is scheduled to commence at 9.00 a.m. Details

  1. Ifo Export Climate for October 2016

    Ifo Export Climate Continues to Rise

    Dec 5, 2016: The Ifo Export Climate rose from 0.26 index points in September to 0.37 points in October. This increase was primarily due to an improvement in corporate and consumer confidence abroad. Price competitiveness, by contrast, remained unchanged compared to last month. Details

  2. Credit Constraint Indicator - From the Ifo Business Survey for November 2016

    Credit Constraints Increase Slightly

    Nov 29, 2016: German companies continue to have little difficulty in obtaining bank loans. The credit constraint indicator for trade and industry rose slightly from 14.4 percent in October to 14.6 percent in November. This is the share of firms reporting restrictive lending by the banks. Financing conditions continue to be very good. Details

  3. Ifo Employment Barometer - Results of the Ifo Business Survey for November 2016

    German Companies Still Seeking New Staff

    Nov 29, 2016: German firms intend to hire additional staff. The Ifo Employment Barometer rose to 111.1 points in November, having stood at 110.7 points in the previous month. The number of jobs in Germany is on the rise. Details

  4. Results of the Ifo Business Survey for November 2016

    Ifo Business Climate Index for Eastern Germany Virtually Unchanged

    Nov 28, 2016: The Ifo Business Climate for industry and trade in eastern Germany trended sideways in November. Although the survey participants assessed their current business situation somewhat less favourably than in the previous month, they look forward to the coming months with slightly increased optimism. Details

  5. Ifo Export Expectations - Ifo Business Survey for November 2016

    After Trump’s Election: Export Expectations of German Industry Clearly Dampened

    Nov 25, 2016: German industry expects a slower increase in exports. The export expectations fell from 13.9 balance points in October to 6.9 points in November. The results of the US elections seem to have caused uncertainty among German exporters. Details

  6. Results of the November 2016 Ifo Business Survey

    Ifo Business Climate after Trump Election Unchanged

    Nov 24, 2016: Confidence in the German economy continues to be good. The Ifo Business Climate Index remained unchanged at 110.4 points (seasonal adjustment correction) in November. The firms were once again more satisfied with their current business situation, but with regard to the coming months they are somewhat less optimistic. The economic upturn in Germany remains intact. The German economy seems to be unfazed by the election of Donald Trump as US President. Details

  7. Results of the November 2016 Ifo Business Survey

    German Service Sector: Ifo Business Climate Indicator for the Services Rises

    Nov 24, 2016: In the service sector, business confidence has improved. The indicator rose from 32.3 balance points in October to 34.8 points in November. The companies gave significantly more favourable assessments of the current situation. Their expectations for the coming months, on the other hand, have been downgraded slightly. The firms plan further increases in the number of employees. Details

  8. Results of the Ifo World Economic Survey (WES) of 4th quarter 2016 (10 November 2016)

    Ifo World Economic Climate Brightens Again

    Nov 10, 2016: The Ifo Index for the world economy improved, rising 4.5 index points to 90.5 points in the fourth quarter and returning to the level seen in the second quarter. Despite this improvement the figure remains around six index points below its long-term average. Experts’ assessments of the current economic situation remained unfavourable, with no change since the second quarter. Expectations brightened somewhat and the world economy seems to be swinging back on track for a moderate recovery. According to experts‘ assessments, Donald Trump’s election as US President represents a major risk for the world economy. They assessed Hillary Clinton’s election, by contrast, as slightly positive. The survey was completed in October. Details

  9. Advance results of the Ifo World Economic Survey (WES) of 4th quarter 2016 (03 November 2016)

    Ifo Economic Climate in the Euro Area Remains Heterogeneous

    Nov 3, 2016: Economic sentiment in the euro area improved this quarter, but to markedly different degrees across member states. The Ifo index for the economic climate in the euro area rose from 111.6 points to 116.8 points in the fourth quarter. The current economic situation remains unchanged and the improved economic climate was entirely due to more positive expectations. The economic recovery in the euro area is expected to continue at a sluggish pace. Details

  10. Ifo Export Climate for September 2016

    Ifo Export Climate Picks Up

    Oct 31, 2016: The Ifo Export Climate rose from 0.12 index points in August to 0.28 points in September. The climate mainly rose due to improved corporate and consumer confidence abroad. There was no change in price competitiveness compared to last month. Details

Is the European-Canadian free trade agreement CETA unconstitutional?

Is the European-Canadian free trade agreement CETA unconstitutional?

Munich Seminar on 5 December 2016 with Prof. Bernhard Kempen, Professor at the University of Cologne and Director of its Institute for Comparative Public Law and International Law read on Is the European-Canadian free trade agreement CETA unconstitutional?

Next Events

  1. Economic and Behavioural Economic Approaches to Public Policy - Two Applications, Part II

    • 06.12.2016, 10:15 AM - 11:45 AM
    • CES Lecture
    • Uwe Dulleck, Queensland University of Technology
    • CES, Schackstr. 4/II, seminar room (207)

    Application of Credence Goods Economics (Theory) to Vocational Education – Applying Economics to the Real World

  2. History of Political Institutions 1000-1800 and The Legacy on Attitudes Towards the State: Disaggregated Analysis for Italy

    • 06.12.2016, 05:00 PM - 06:15 PM
    • Hans Möller Seminar
    • Matteo Cervellati, University of Bologna
    • International Economics, Ludwigstr. 28/II, Library (room 221)

  3. Economic and Behavioural Economic Approaches to Public Policy - Two Applications, Part III

    • 08.12.2016, 10:15 AM - 11:45 AM
    • CES Lecture
    • Uwe Dulleck, Queensland University of Technology
    • CES, Schackstr. 4/II, seminar room (207)

    Behavioural Economics and Modern Government – Insights from Australia

  4. Efficient Insurance in a Market Theory of Payroll and Self-Employment

    • 08.12.2016, 12:00 PM - 01:00 PM
    • Public Economics Seminar
    • Florian Sniekers, University of Amsterdam
    • CES, Schackstr. 4/II, seminar room (207)

  5. The Effect of land development on tax revenues- studying the example of bavaria

    • 12.12.2016, 11:10 AM - 12:40 PM
    • Lunchtime Seminar TU Dresden
    • Sebastian Langer
    • TU Dresden, Sitzungszimmer der Fakultät Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Raum SCH B 037

  6. Topics in International Economics, Part I

    • 13.12.2016, 10:15 AM - 11:45 AM
    • CES Lecture
    • Jean-Marie Viaene, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics
    • CES, Schackstr. 4/II, seminar room (207)

    Firms’ Export Survival

  7. Innovation prizes for environmental R&D

    • 13.12.2016, 11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
    • SEEM – Seminar on Energy and Environmental Economics Munich
    • Rolf Golombek
    • Ifo Institute, Ludwig Erhard Hall, Poschingerstr. 5, Munich

Journals

  1. Cover Image "ifo Konjunkturperspektiven 11/2016", ifo Institut, München, 2016 | Details

  2. Cover Image "CESifo Forum 3/2016 (Autumn): Migration: Challenge or Opportunity?", Ifo Institute, Munich, 2016, 03-35 | Details | PDF Download

  3. Cover Image "ifo Schnelldienst 22/2016", ifo Institut, München, 2016, 03-74 | Details

  4. Cover Image "CESifo World Economic Survey November 2016", Ifo Institute, Munich, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  5. Cover Image "ifo Schnelldienst 21/2016", ifo Institut, München, 2016, 03-50 | Details

  6. Cover Image "ifo-GfK-Konsumreport 10/2016", ifo Institut; Gfk Marktforschung, München; Nürnberg, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

Books

  1. Cover Image Fuest, Clemens, Björn Kauder, Luisa Lorenz, Martin Mosler, Niklas Potrafke and Florian Dorn, Heimliche Steuererhöhungen – Belastungswirkungen der Kalten Progression und Entlastungswirkungen eines Einkommensteuertarifs auf Rädern, ifo Forschungsberichte 76, Ifo Institute, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  2. Cover Image Rave, Tilmann, Der Ausbau Erneuerbarer Energien im Föderalismus und Mehrebenensystem – Neoklassische und neoinstitutionalistische Perspektiven, ifo Forschungsberichte 75, ifo Institut, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

Working Paper

  1. Cover Image Vandrei, Lars and Carolin Fritzsche, "The German Real Estate Transfer Tax: Evidence for Single-Family Home Transactions", Ifo Working Paper No. 232, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  2. Cover Image Neuhierl, Andreas and Michael Weber, "Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time-Series Evidence", CESifo Working Paper No. 6199, November 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  3. Cover Image West, Martin R., Ludger Woessmann, Philipp Lergetporer and Katharina Werner, "How Information Affects Support for Education Spending: Evidence from Survey Experiments in Germany and the United States", CESifo Working Paper No. 6192, November 2016, Also published as: NBER Working Paper 22808, Information | Details | PDF Download

  4. Cover Image Cinnirella, Francesco, Marc P. B. Klemp and Jacob L. Weisdorf, "Malthus in the Bedroom: Birth Spacing as Birth Control in Pre-Transition England", CESifo Working Paper No. 6167, November 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  5. Cover Image Nagl, Wolfgang and Michael Weber, "Stuck in a trap? Long-term unemployment under two-tier unemployment compensation schemes", Ifo Working Paper No. 231, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  6. Cover Image Neumeier, Florian, "Do Businessmen Make Good Governors?", Ifo Working Paper No. 230, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  7. Cover Image Gutmann, Jerg, Matthias Neuenkirch and Florian Neumeier, "Precision-Guided or Blunt? The Effects of US Economic Sanctions on Human Rights", Ifo Working Paper No. 229, 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  8. Cover Image Lehmann, Robert and Klaus Wohlrabe, "Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany", CESifo Working Paper No. 6157, October 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  9. Cover Image Hristov, Nikolay and Oliver Hülsewig, "Unexpected Loan Losses and Bank Capital in an Estimated DSGE Model of the Euro Area", CESifo Working Paper No. 6160, October 2016 | Details | PDF Download

  10. Cover Image Felbermayr, Gabriel, Rahel Aichele, Inga Heiland and Marina Steininger, "TTIP – Potential Effects on Norway", Ifo Working Paper No. 228, 2016 | Details | PDF Download